Sabtu, 21 November 2009

Senate Health Bill Faces Crucial Vote

Senate Health Bill Faces Crucial Vote
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Obama's approval: 49 pct, new Gallup low

President Barack Obama's public approval stood at 69 percent in the days after his inauguration in January, shown above, and reached a new low of 49 percent this week in the Gallup Poll's daily tracking surveys.


by Mark Silva

Public approval of the job that President Barack Obama is performing has fallen below 50 percent for the first time in the Gallup Poll's daily tracking of opinion.

The 49-percent approval for Obama's performance, measured this week over a three-day average of surveys between Tuesday and Thursday, marks a 20-point decline from the 69-percentage point approval that Obama enjoyed in the days after his inauguration in January.

This also marks the fourth-swifted slide of a president's approval below 50 since Gallup started tracking President Harry Truman's performance. Other surveys have put the president's approval rating below 50 and others have shown his approval hovering in the low to mid-50s, but for consistency and comparison's sake, we've always favored the Gallup findings as a number that comes with benchmarks.

"Although the current decline below 50 percent has symbolic significance, most of the recent decline in support for Obama occurred in July and August,'' Gallup's Jeffrey Jones notes. "He began July at 60 percent approval.

"The ongoing, contentious debate over national healthcare reform has likely served as a drag on his public support, as have continuing economic problems. Americans are also concerned about the Obama administration's reliance on government spending to solve the nation's problems and the growing federal budget deficit.

"Of the post-World War II presidents, Obama now is the fourth fastest to drop below the majority approval level, doing so in his 10th month on the job. Gerald Ford dropped below 50 percent approval during his third month in office, and Bill Clinton did so in his fourth month,'' Jones notes. "Ronald Reagan, like Obama, also dropped below 50 percent in his 10th month in office, though Reagan's drop occurred a few days sooner in that month (Nov. 13-16, 1981) than did Obama's (Nov. 17-19, 2009).

He also notes this, which is another reason that Gallup's numbers are worth watching: "All presidents except John Kennedy dropped below the majority approval level at some point in their presidencies, and all recovered after the first time below this mark to go back above 50 percent approval.''

For more, see the full Gallup report,.

And forgive us, please, if the pace of postings in the Swamp slows this week for a much needed Thanksgiving week break.

The Swamp wishes a Happy Thanksgiving to all.


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